Post-2015 Development Agenda: What Next?

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The Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), have been regarded by the  UN Secretary General as “the most successful global anti-poverty- push in  history.” Committing world leaders to the pursuit of concrete, measurable  improvements, once realized, the MDGs were set to have wide-ranging  effects, from freeing people from extreme poverty to halting the spread of  HIV/AIDS. However, with the 2015 deadline already here, it is time to ask:  What results have been achieved? What needs to happen next? 

Some critics say it is difficult to determine what improvement has been made because  of potentially inaccurate data. Others note that it  is not clear whether the improvement seen has  been made because of the goals, or if the same  improvement might have been seen anyway.  This article raises some questions regarding  two of the MDGs: goal 1, eradicating extreme  poverty and hunger, and goal 2, achieving universal primary education.  

Goal 1:  

Between 1990 and 2010, the number of people  living on less than $1.25 a day (the World  

Bank international poverty threshold) reduced  by half in the developing world, from 43% to 

21%, by almost 1 billion people. Yet in this  case, correlation does not prove causation  with the economy of China responsible  for approximately 75% of the reduction.  Furthermore, according to The World Bank,  1/7th of the world’s population continues to live  below the $1.25 line . When trying to reconcile  all of these figures, some questions arise. Does  simply boosting people above the International  Poverty Line (IPL) of $1.25 solidly move them  out of poverty and provide them the adequate  standard of living guaranteed by the Universal  Declaration of Human Rights? According to  Wagstaff (2003), there is a significant variation  between countries. In Kazakhstan, for example,  a child living on a dollar a day has only a 10% risk of being underweight, while the risk faced  by a child living on a dollar a day in India is  nearly 60%. Moving forward, we must look at  poverty in the Global South not as a given,  but as a product of an economic system, and  ask ourselves, what are the policies of local  governments and global agencies that create  poverty? 

Goal 2:  

Moving on to the second MDG goal, “achieving  universal primary education,” we must again  examine the data. According to the UN 2012  MDG Report, enrollment in primary education  in developing regions reached 90% by 2010.  From a numbers perspective this figure looks  promising, but this measurement of progress  hides, in some cases, some negative effects.  First, research shows that students are  repeating grades and not completing primary  education. Also, the focus on primary education  has negatively affected secondary and post secondary education with some countries  (including three of the most populated in  Africa) showing declining enrollment rates.  Furthermore, evidence shows that ground  has been lost in education since the late 70’s  in Sub-Saharan Africa, Eastern Europe, and  Latin America due to the reduction of public  expenditure and the privatization of education  through the adoption of the policy agenda  recommended by the World Bank.  

Looking toward the future, questions remain regarding whether the  education system is prepared to offer quality education to all children.  

One of the most important dilemmas in Sub Saharan African higher education, for example,  is the problem of quality of educational  experience versus quantity of graduates  produced. While developing countries are in  dire need of more educated professionals, this  necessity, coupled with limited resources, can  sometimes significantly compromise the quality of education. Another dilemma is the question of  affordability versus access and equality. In most  developing countries the government is the  principal, if not the sole provider of education. In  order to promote enrollment, many governments  offer educational opportunities at little or no  cost, which can lead to situations where the  demand for education exceeds far beyond the  supply. This possibility has led some to suggest  that households should pay tuition so as to  raise additional revenues that can be used to  improve school quality and build new schools,  particularly in rural areas. This expansion may  create the extra professionals the country needs  at an affordable cost to the government. In the  short term, however, it will likely exclude the  most disadvantaged, particularly women.  

Putting aside the MDGs, it is important  to stress that all countries are required  to set their own policy priorities for  the fulfillment of the MDGs. This  agenda must be led through a regional  and national development strategy  based on each country’s root causes  of the problems. Although foreign  aid is welcome, countries should not  be dependent solely on foreign aid  for implementing their development  strategies. Moreover, countries should not make less relevant policy decisions because of the  potential for more foreign aid (often with “strings  attached”).  

There were three main options on the table when approaching the end of the MDGs:  extend the MDG deadline, build on the current  goals, or try something entirely different. The  second option was selected, creating the  Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), one  global development agenda for the post-2015  period. Let’s hope that 15 years from now—the  deadline for these new goals—the SDGs will be  unnecessary.

 

Estefania Brasil